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New POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Poll Measures Attitudes and Concerns on “Fiscal Cliff” Proposals
December 10, 2012
New POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Poll
Measures Attitudes and Concerns on “Fiscal Cliff” Proposals
WASHINGTON – One month after the presidential election voters are anxious about the economy and the direction of the country. While politicians argue about the best way to avoid the so-called “fiscal cliff” at least 60 percent of American voters favor three proposals for reducing the federal budget deficit: raising taxes on households earning more than $250,000 (60 percent favor), raising taxes on corporations (64 percent favor) and cutting government spending across the board (75 percent favor). Additionally, a narrow majority (51 percent) favor reducing Medicare benefits for seniors who have higher incomes, according to a new POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Poll released today.
Proposals with the most opposition include raising the retirement age for Social Security benefits (64 percent oppose), making significant cuts to the Department of Defense budget (59 percent oppose) and raising taxes on small businesses that earn more than $250,000 (69 percent oppose).
“As President Obama and Congressional leaders attempt to negotiate a solution to reducing deficit spending, they will be facing a formidable challenge due to conflicting voter attitudes,” said Ed Goeas, president/CEO of The Tarrance Group. “Americans support raising taxes on households earning more than $250,000, but a majority (69 percent) oppose raising taxes on small businesses earning more than $250,000, who comprise a significant portion of those same households. In addition, while 75 percent support cutting government spending across the board, a strong majority (59 percent) oppose significant cuts to the Department of Defense budget.”
Fifty-nine percent of Americans disapprove of the job President Obama is doing to reduce the federal budget deficit. However, his overall job performance rating is 50 percent approval and 47 percent disapproval.
“President Obama campaigned on a plan that defined progress as all Americans moving forward,” said Celinda Lake, president of Lake Research Partners. “Over six-in-ten voters, including solid majorities of Democrats and independents, and even over a third of Republicans support these tax increases. Furthermore, voters soundly reject trickle-down economics. Obama has the stature in job performance and favorability to successfully take this debate directly to the people as he has done. At the same time, Democrats must remember that many more voters are concerned about jobs and the economy than government spending and the deficit. We can't take our eye off the ball, which is getting this economy moving forward.”
In addition to economic issues the latest Battleground Poll measured voter concerns on a range of issues including gay marriage, immigration reform, the 2014 Congressional race and other topics. For full results go to www.gwu.edu/battleground-poll or www.POLITICO.com.
“President Obama enters his second term confronted by some serious concerns. More voters disapprove than approve of his job performance on reducing the federal deficit, immigration and the economy generally,” said Christopher Arterton, founding dean of the GW Graduate School of Political Management. “Meanwhile, these voters narrowly approve of the job he is doing on same sex marriage, working with Congress, taxes and Medicare. As a nation, we’ve come out of the 2012 election as badly divided as we were during the campaign. The very serious issues that we face will take adroit management to solve. The election didn't serve to resolve them; no consensus has emerged on how the nation should move forward. Nor is the public particularly happy about the future. When asked if the country is headed in the right direction or is off on the wrong track, fully 59 percent replied 'wrong track" in this post-election survey, a percent comparable to our surveys during most of 2012.”
About the POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Poll
The POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Poll is a nationally recognized, series of surveys conducted by Republican pollster Ed Goeas of The Tarrance Group and Democratic pollster Celinda Lake of Lake Research Partners. The George Washington University Global Media Institute, affiliated with the Graduate School of Political Management (GSPM) and the School of Media and Public Affairs (SMPA), serves as the university’s home for the partnership. George Washington’s Gelman Library houses the data archive of the survey results dating back more than two decades. The poll, which is distinguished from other surveys by its presentation of separate analyses from these top pollsters representing both sides of the aisle, surveyed 1,000 registered likely voters nationwide Dec. 2 through Dec. 6, 2012 including a protocol for reaching mobile phone users, and yields a margin of error of + 3.1 percent.
Christopher Arterton, founding dean of GW’s Graduate School of Political Management; Celinda Lake, president of Lake Research Partners; and Ed Goeas, president/CEO of The Tarrance Group; are all available for comment. For Mr. Arterton, contact Angela Olson at 202-994-3087. For Ms. Lake, contact Anderson Gardner at Lake Research Partners, 202-776-9066. For Mr. Goeas, contact Brian Nienaber at The Tarrance Group, 703-684-6688.