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POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll: Obama and Romney are Tied at 47 Percent on Election Day 2012

November 06, 2012

202-994-3087; [email protected]
Jill Sankey
202-994-6466; [email protected]

WASHINGTON – Election Day has arrived and a new POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Tracking poll has Barack Obama and Mitt Romney tied at 47 percent.

Voter enthusiasm is equal among the parties with 63 percent of Republicans and Democrats saying they are either "very likely" or "extremely likely" to vote. Both President Obama and Governor Romney have a 50 percent favorable rating. The president’s job approval rating is evenly divided with 49 percent approval and disapproval.

 Obama leads with women, African American and Latino voters, union households and voters under age 30. Romney leads with men, seniors, married voters, weekly church attendees and suburban voters.  Six percent of voters are still undecided.

A majority of Americans (54 percent) believe the country is on the wrong track. When voters are asked which candidate they think will better handle key issues, Mitt Romney leads on the economy (51 to 45 percent), jobs (50 to 45 percent), federal budget and spending (53 to 43 percent) and the ability to get things done (49 to 44 percent). Barack Obama leads on foreign policy (51 to 44 percent), Medicare (51 to 45 percent) and standing up for the middle class (54 to 43 percent). With a 3.1 percent margin of error, the candidates are statistically tied on taxes (48 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama), sharing your values (48 percent for Obama and 47 percent for Romney) and being a strong leader (48 percent for Obama and 47 percent for Romney).

The POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Tracking Polls focus exclusively on voters’ attitudes towards the presidential election, the Congressional election and pressing issues. The tracking polls complement the more extensive polls traditionally released by POLITICO and GW.  For full results from the latest poll, and to compare data from previous polls go to or

About the POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Poll

The POLITICO-George Washington University Battleground Poll is a nationally recognized, series of surveys conducted by Republican pollster Ed Goeas of The Tarrance Group and Democratic pollster Celinda Lake of Lake Research Partners. The George Washington University Global Media Institute, affiliated with the Graduate School of Political Management (GSPM) and the School of Media and Public Affairs (SMPA), serves as the university’s home for the partnership. George Washington’s Gelman Library houses the data archive of the survey results dating back more than two decades. The poll, which is distinguished from other surveys by its presentation of separate analyses from these top pollsters representing both sides of the aisle, surveyed 1,000 registered likely voters nationwide Nov. 4 through Nov. 5, 2012 including a protocol for reaching mobile phone users, and yields a margin of error of + 3.1 percent.       

Interview Opportunities

Christopher Arterton, founding dean of GW’s Graduate School of Political Management; Celinda Lake, president of Lake Research Partners; and Ed Goeas, President/CEO of The Tarrance Group; are all available for comment.  For Mr. Arterton, contact Angela Olson at 202-994-3087.  For Ms. Lake, contact Anderson Gardner at Lake Research Partners, 202-776-9066.  For Mr. Goeas, contact Brian Nienaber at The Tarrance Group, 703-684-6688.

For full results from the latest poll go to and