Media Tip Sheet: NOAA Lowers Hurricane Forecast


August 10, 2026

NOAA is now forecasting a 75% chance of a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season, lowering its prediction to seven to 13 named storms, two to six hurricanes and zero to two major hurricanes. The agency says strengthening El Niño conditions are the primary factor suppressing Atlantic storm activity.

But with the peak of hurricane season approaching in mid-August through September, there are still important questions about what this forecast means for communities.

Faculty experts at the George Washington University are available to offer insight, analysis and commentary.. To schedule an interview with an expert, please contact Katelyn Deckelbaum at katelyn [dot] deckelbaumatgwu [dot] edu.

​​Carlos Santos-Burgoa, is a professor of global health and environmental and occupational health at the GW Milken Institute School of Public. His interest is in toxic chemicals risk analysis, management and control of their population and climate impacts, and public health approaches to crises in epidemics and disasters in developing economies. He was the lead researcher on the landmark report GW researchers released after Hurricane Maria.

Elizabeth Andrade, is an assistant professor of prevention and community health at the GW Milken Institute School of Public Health. She was part of a team of GW researchers who conducted the most comprehensive study of the impact of Hurricane Maria on Puerto Rico. She can talk about power outages associated with hurricanes and how they can be particularly deadly for older adults and people who are managing a chronic condition.

Susan Anenberg, is director of the GW Climate & Health Institute and associate professor of environmental and occupational health. Her research focuses on the health implications of air pollution and climate change. Her team published two studies finding links between health problems like asthma and exposure to polluted air.

Gaige Kerr, is a senior research scientist and professorial lecturer in the department of environmental and occupational health at the GW Milken Institute School of Public Health. He researches ambient air pollution, and projects he has led span topics ranging from understanding the emission sources of pollution to assessing the health impacts experienced by populations, with a special emphasis on understanding associated ethnoracial and socioeconomic disparities.

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